Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:36:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35ff…bfee
crypto · 166 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$953 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$953 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$953
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses75 / 91
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)166 / 166
History coverage138d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 166 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$177
7 days−$193
14 days−$175
30 days−$853
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $97 +$48 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$14 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$54 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$9 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $94 +$71 +75%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $22 +$102 +472%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $107 +$100 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$143 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$77 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +12%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $215 −$215 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$20 +90%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$54 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 11 $70 +$2 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 11 $169 −$169 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $73 +$4 +5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $85 +$209 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $20 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $50 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $120 +$32 +27%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $89 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $64 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $55 −$13 -24%
Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31? Jun 05 $10 +$10 +108%
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at m Jun 04 $25 +$2 +6%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 4, 2026? Jun 02 $1 $0 -10%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 6, 2026? Jun 02 $0 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 30 $11 +$10 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% −$818
crypto 27% −$132
world 9% −$9
politics 6% +$5
sports 3% +$1
tech 1% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $54 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $22 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $21 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $107 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $57 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $142 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $83 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $107 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $22 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $80 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -15.5% -23.6% 46% 33% -18.1%
≤30d 57 -20.5% -28.1% 42% 28% -34.0%
≤90d 110 -15.5% -23.6% 45% 25% -22.8%
all 166 -11.0% -19.5% 45% 29% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.5% 29% -17.6%
10% -27.2% 27% -25.5%
15% -34.2% 25% -32.7%
20% -40.7% 23% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 528 history records