trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 9 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 67% | 0% | -7.7% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 55% | 0% | -8.3% |
| all | 26 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 31% | 0% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.9% | 0% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 0% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 0% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $56 | $56 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 08 | $6 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 07 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 06 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $39 | +$3 | +8% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $55 | +$1 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 03 | $54 | +$1 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 02 | $8 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28? | Jan 31 | $37 | −$17 | -45% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 24 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Nov 23 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Nov 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 22 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Panthers vs. 49ers | Nov 22 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 21 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Nov 21 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | Nov 20 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in | Oct 13 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? | Oct 12 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Oct 09 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 09 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Oct 08 | $24 | $0 | +0% |