Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:52:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x35f6…5be6 crypto 1424 markets active 0h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$287 (+9%) realized +$287 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate59%838W / 586L
Drawdown50%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day110.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$60
7 days−$62
14 days−$32
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 258 -10.3% -18.9% 51% 27% -19.6%
≤30d 1424 +3.7% -6.2% 59% 36% -7.0%
≤90d 1424 +3.7% -6.2% 59% 36% -7.0%
all 1424 +3.7% -6.2% 59% 36% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover110.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 36% -7.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.1% 35% -15.9%
15% -23.3% 35% -24.0%
20% -30.9% 35% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$287
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses838 / 586
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1424 / 1424
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day110.5
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1424 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $4 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records