Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T16:08:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x35f1…b860 crypto 155 markets active 2h ago coverage 151d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$175 (-11%) realized −$175 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate77%119W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day2.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$133
7 days−$133
14 days−$133
30 days−$133
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$185
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -8.9% -17.6% 65% 0% -36.7%
≤30d 23 -8.9% -17.6% 65% 0% -36.7%
≤90d 23 -8.9% -17.6% 65% 0% -36.7%
all 155 -5.5% -14.5% 77% 18% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 18% -19.9%
10% -22.7% 5% -27.6%
15% -30.1% 3% -34.6%
20% -37.0% 2% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -30% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$7 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

151d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$175
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses119 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)155 / 155
History coverage151d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 155 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 22 $25 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $36 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $20 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 22 $51 −$3 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$13 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 22 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 22 $26 −$11 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $25 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $108 −$108 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Feb 19 $6 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Feb 19 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Feb 19 $17 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Feb 19 $15 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Feb 19 $6 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Feb 19 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Feb 19 $2 −$1 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Feb 19 $30 +$4 +12%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Feb 19 $6 −$5 -86%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Feb 19 $9 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Feb 19 $4 −$2 -38%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Feb 19 $80 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Feb 19 $12 −$4 -34%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Feb 19 $13 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Feb 19 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Feb 19 $4 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Feb 19 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Feb 19 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Feb 19 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Feb 19 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Feb 19 $16 +$2 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Feb 19 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Feb 19 $5 +$2 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Feb 19 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Feb 19 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Feb 19 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Feb 19 $3 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $15 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $23 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 73¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $15 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 460 history records