Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:06:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35ef…9f58
crypto · 235 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$49 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses85 / 149
Open positions1
Markets (closed)234 / 235
History coverage82d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$20
14 days−$33
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down on June 14? Up 41¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +154%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +66%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$4 +341%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +127%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$44
finance 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down on June 14? BUY Up 41¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $2 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $3 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-28.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -16.9% -24.8% 43% 41% -32.5%
≤30d 102 -26.3% -33.3% 35% 33% -35.7%
≤90d 234 -21.0% -28.5% 36% 35% -19.9%
all 234 -21.0% -28.5% 36% 35% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.5% 35% -19.9%
10% -35.4% 32% -27.6%
15% -41.6% 29% -34.6%
20% -47.3% 25% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.99 · official $0.99 (match) · 501 history records