Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35c8…ce5c
sports · 134 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$66,660 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$71,198 · open −$986
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29,713
Realized+$71,198
Unrealized−$986
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses91 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$1,923
Open positions24
Markets (closed)113 / 134
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2,326
Trades / day461.4
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 24 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44,289
7 days+$71,198
14 days+$71,198
30 days+$71,198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 18¢ 100¢ $3,536 $19,990 +$16,454 (+465%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $2,966 $2,820 −$147 (-5%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 64¢ $2,560 $2,580 +$20 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 41¢ 42¢ $1,640 $1,660 +$20 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? No 42¢ 42¢ $504 $510 +$6 (+1%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 52¢ 52¢ $312 $315 +$3 (+1%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? No 47¢ 48¢ $275 $276 +$1 (+0%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? No 17¢ 18¢ $216 $218 +$2 (+1%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 30¢ 30¢ $212 $214 +$2 (+1%)
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? No 60¢ 69¢ $173 $199 +$26 (+15%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 36¢ 36¢ $180 $183 +$2 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? No 51¢ 52¢ $153 $154 +$1 (+1%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? No 50¢ 50¢ $137 $138 +$1 (+0%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? No 29¢ 30¢ $116 $118 +$2 (+2%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? No 39¢ 40¢ $78 $79 +$1 (+1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 67¢ 68¢ $64 $64 +$0 (+1%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $44 $46 +$1 (+2%)
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No 67¢ 36¢ $67 $36 −$30 (-46%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? No 36¢ 36¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 56¢ 57¢ $34 $35 +$1 (+3%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $24 $23 −$1 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $864 $10 −$854 (-99%)
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Jason Tatum win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 13 $33 +$1 +3%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 13 $23 +$1 +4%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $398 +$30 +7%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $3,065 +$5 +0%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 13 $2,121 +$21 +1%
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $140 +$136 +97%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $201 +$35 +17%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $4,201 +$2,340 +56%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10,835 +$420 +4%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $3,547 +$38 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$4 +4%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $4,152 +$4 +0%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $195 −$30 -16%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 13 $107 +$2 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,197 −$1,194 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $55,294 +$42,641 +77%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 13 $46 +$14 +30%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $637 +$8 +1%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 12 $24 +$32 +133%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 12 $803 +$9 +1%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $22,539 −$651 -3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $9 +$4 +43%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $832 +$8 +1%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+2.5) Jun 12 $216 +$2 +1%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $357 +$311 +87%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $46 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $653 +$17 +3%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $2,543 −$331 -13%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,804 +$34 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $29,699 +$300 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $410 +$6 +2%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $294 +$5 +2%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $190 +$5 +3%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $814 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,806 +$46 +3%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1,120 +$7 +1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $33 +$1 +3%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $118 +$5 +4%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $115 +$5 +4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $12,482 +$184 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $779 +$10 +1%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $249 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $334 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $72 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $396 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $693 +$7 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $212 +$4 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $33,006 +$23,140 +70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% +$44,200
sports 39% +$26,001
crypto 0% +$9
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 17¢ $2 0m
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL No 34¢ $33 21m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 17¢ $5 23m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 30¢ $150 24m
Will France win on 2026-06-16? SELL No 34¢ $1 24m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 24¢ $24 25m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 17¢ $82 25m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $16 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $27 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $136 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $4 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $31 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $72 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 32m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $580 32m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 17¢ $0 32m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 17¢ $0 33m
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 17¢ $3 38m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 31¢ $62 38m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 45¢ $46 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 +8.1% -2.2% 81% 19% +17.6%
≤30d 113 +8.1% -2.2% 81% 19% +17.6%
≤90d 113 +8.1% -2.2% 81% 19% +17.6%
all 113 +8.1% -2.2% 81% 19% +17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover461.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.2% 19% +17.6%
10% -11.5% 15% +6.3%
15% ← realistic here -20.1% 13% -3.9%
20% -27.9% 12% -13.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29,712.65 · official $29,712.68 (match) · 3500 history records