Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:07:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x35b9…0e2b
crypto · 217 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$953 -47%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$953 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$953
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses13 / 204
Open positions0
Markets (closed)217 / 217
History coverage88d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 217 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$44
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8AM ET Up 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$33 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$78 +1463%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$9 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$23 +268%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +36%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? Mar 30 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Mar 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4AM ET Mar 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Mar 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Mar 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12PM ET Mar 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Mar 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11AM ET Mar 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Mar 24 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Mar 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10AM ET Mar 24 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8AM ET Mar 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Mar 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2PM ET Mar 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12PM ET Mar 22 $80 −$80 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Mar 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Mar 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Mar 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Mar 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Mar 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11AM ET Mar 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$910
other 2% −$12
finance 1% −$25
economics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $83 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-56.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +112.7% +92.5% 46% 46% +18.0%
≤30d 13 +112.7% +92.5% 46% 46% +18.0%
≤90d 217 -52.3% -56.8% 6% 6% -67.1%
all 217 -52.3% -56.8% 6% 6% -67.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -56.8% 6% -67.1%
10% -60.9% 6% -70.2%
15% -64.7% 6% -73.1%
20% -68.2% 5% -75.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 775 history records