trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 46 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 28% | 28% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.1% | 28% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -22.3% | 28% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -29.8% | 28% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -36.7% | 28% | -33.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 15 | $790 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 15 | $1,040 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 15 | $960 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $570 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $680 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $610 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $460 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $1,040 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 12 | $810 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 03 | $480 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 27 | $390 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 27 | $1,140 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 27 | $580 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 27 | $1,270 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jan 26 | $340 | $0 | -0% |
| Pistons vs. Hawks | Nov 18 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Mavericks | Nov 12 | $30 | +$23 | +75% |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Nov 07 | $15 | +$15 | +96% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Nov 03 | $9 | +$7 | +75% |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Oct 19 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State | Oct 19 | $5 | +$7 | +133% |
| Capitals vs. Rangers | Oct 12 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Rays vs. Orioles | Sep 23 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Brewers vs. Padres | Sep 23 | $8 | +$7 | +92% |
| Chargers vs. Raiders | Sep 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Packers | Sep 15 | $4 | +$2 | +59% |
| Cubs vs. Blue Jays | Aug 14 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Yankees | Aug 12 | $7 | +$6 | +89% |
| Will Victoria Livschitz win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Champions | Aug 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Braves vs. Reds | Aug 06 | $7 | +$5 | +72% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | Jul 30 | $7 | +$5 | +75% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6000 in May? | May 12 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 10 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 07 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Everton wins the Premier League? | Feb 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. 76ers | Feb 05 | $115 | +$102 | +89% |
| Magic vs. Warriors | Feb 04 | $146 | +$100 | +68% |
| Mavericks vs. Pistons | Feb 03 | $103 | −$103 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting? | Jan 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Heat | Dec 05 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Heat | Nov 27 | $85 | −$85 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Nov 26 | $56 | +$29 | +52% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Nov 22 | $28 | +$29 | +104% |