trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 71% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 71% | 0% | -10.1% |
| all | 21 | -4.5% | -13.6% | 71% | 0% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.6% | 0% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 0% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 04 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 03 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | Jun 03 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | Jun 03 | $137 | $0 | +0% |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Netanyahu out by May 31? | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 20 | Jun 02 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31? | Jun 02 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, | Jun 02 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026 | Jun 02 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 02 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | Jun 02 | $164 | +$1 | +1% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? | Jun 02 | $315 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 02 | $41 | −$1 | -4% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | May 26 | $19 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | May 26 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |