Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x3584…36ba
crypto · 657 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,015 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,015 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,015
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses308 / 349
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)657 / 657
History coverage159d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days−$977
14 days−$972
30 days−$982
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $243 +$51 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$55 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$39 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $166 +$22 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $135 −$31 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $44 +$22 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $77 +$22 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $72 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $85 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $58 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$20 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $31 +$20 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $42 +$19 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 07 $32 +$46 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 07 $38 −$6 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 07 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $35 −$18 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 07 $22 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 07 $18 −$5 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 07 $72 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 07 $21 −$10 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 07 $26 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 07 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$7 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 07 $49 −$9 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$2,020
sports 2% +$4
other 1% −$9
politics 0% +$8
world 0% +$2
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $168 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $114 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $142 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $73 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $68 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $66 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $13 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 104 -46.8% -51.8% 26% 20% -31.9%
≤30d 120 -41.1% -46.7% 30% 23% -29.3%
≤90d 372 -17.2% -25.1% 42% 31% -18.5%
all 657 -10.1% -18.7% 47% 34% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.7% 34% -14.8%
10% -26.4% 24% -23.0%
15% -33.6% 17% -30.4%
20% -40.1% 11% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3174 history records