trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +99.4% | +80.4% | 100% | 100% | +80.4% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +65.4% | +49.7% | 100% | 100% | +53.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 65% | 65% | -18.9% |
| all | 27 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 63% | 56% | -5.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 56% | -5.3% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 44% | -14.4% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 26% | -22.6% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 7% | -30.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 24? | No | 17¢ | 18¢ | $61 | $66 | +$5 (+9%) |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $7 | +$1 (+19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? | Jun 24 | $56 | +$55 | +99% |
| Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $42 | +$13 | +31% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May? | May 24 | $203 | −$198 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? | May 08 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7? | May 08 | $4 | +$1 | +25% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | May 06 | $15 | −$14 | -96% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | May 04 | $8 | +$2 | +33% |
| Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026? | May 01 | $27 | +$11 | +39% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Apr 30 | $149 | +$59 | +39% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | Apr 12 | $225 | −$71 | -32% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Apr 07 | $11 | +$3 | +29% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Apr 07 | $17 | +$6 | +34% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5? | Apr 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Apr 02 | $41 | +$16 | +39% |
| Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? | Apr 01 | $79 | +$15 | +20% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Apr 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5? | Mar 31 | $56 | +$23 | +41% |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | Mar 21 | $73 | +$3 | +4% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | Mar 18 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? | Mar 18 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Mar 18 | $91 | −$91 | -100% |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Mar 09 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Mar 09 | $99 | +$177 | +179% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Mar 09 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 09 | $180 | +$34 | +19% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Mar 07 | $285 | +$117 | +41% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Feb 28 | $9 | +$2 | +18% |