Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T00:21:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x355d…1c50 crypto 47 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (340 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$183 (+5%) realized +$183 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate68%32W / 15L
Drawdown37%max
Avg bet$82per market
Trades / day340.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$252
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (340 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -0.6% -10.1% 68% 40% -3.6%
≤30d 47 -0.6% -10.1% 68% 40% -3.6%
≤90d 47 -0.6% -10.1% 68% 40% -3.6%
all 47 -0.6% -10.1% 68% 40% -3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover340.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 40% -3.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 13% -12.8%
15% -26.5% 13% -21.2%
20% -33.7% 11% -29.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 33% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +7% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
4.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$20 vs −$25 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.66 per $1 lost it wins $1.66
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses32 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day340.0
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 47 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 26 $50 −$17 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 26 $311 −$16 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $227 +$9 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 26 $248 −$78 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 26 $324 −$40 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 26 $126 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $125 −$18 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 25 $100 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 25 $27 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 25 $114 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$30 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 25 $176 +$75 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 25 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 25 $71 −$13 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 25 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 25 $71 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 25 $71 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$12 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $69 +$114 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 25 $24 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $40 −$17 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 25 $41 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 25 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 25 $41 −$21 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 25 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 25 $41 −$20 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 25 $137 +$89 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 25 $72 +$73 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 25 $153 +$93 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 25 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $24 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $14 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $25 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $7 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 384 history records