Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T20:09:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x355c…bb32 crypto 125 markets active 1h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$28 (+2%) realized +$25 · open +$3
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate42%50W / 69L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day62.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$23now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$141
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$53
other 6% +$19
sports 2% +$29
world 0% −$5
weather 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 119 +11.1% +0.5% 42% 38% -10.1%
≤30d 119 +11.1% +0.5% 42% 38% -10.1%
≤90d 119 +11.1% +0.5% 42% 38% -10.1%
all 119 +11.1% +0.5% 42% 38% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.5% 38% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -9.1% 35% -18.7%
15% -17.9% 35% -26.6%
20% -25.9% 27% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 31% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$9 · ×1.36 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$23
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses50 / 69
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)119 / 125
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day62.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 6 History 119 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? Yes 61¢ 95¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+56%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 56 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $38 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $27 −$26 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $3 $0 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $13 +$5 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $15 −$8 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$7 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$2 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $3 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $22 −$6 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$20 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 19 $19 −$18 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 19 $28 +$11 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$10 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $21 −$9 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $11 −$5 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 19 $11 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 19 $3 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 19 $35 +$62 +177%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 19 $41 −$6 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 19 $37 +$7 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $17 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 19 $34 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$17 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 19 $21 −$19 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 19 $17 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $16 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 −$8 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 19 $4 +$5 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $11 +$12 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 19 $15 −$14 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 19 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 19 $22 +$19 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 19 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $20 −$19 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.80 · official $22.81 (match) · 482 history records