Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:58:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x3556…3fb4
sports · 12 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$30 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$69 · open −$39
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$271
Realized+$69
Unrealized−$39
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses4 / 3
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions5
Markets (closed)7 / 12
History coverage5d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$56
7 days+$69
14 days+$69
30 days+$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Solary 62¢ 60¢ $97 $95 −$2 (-2%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Bilibili Gaming 66¢ 60¢ $100 $91 −$9 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Bebop 40¢ 38¢ $61 $58 −$2 (-4%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 68¢ 50¢ $36 $27 −$9 (-25%)
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 1 Winner Gaming By Legends 10¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Garcia vs. Grabher: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 50¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$6 -58%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $53 +$105 +197%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $79 −$77 -98%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $26 +$34 +132%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $37 +$15 +40%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 08 $101 +$20 +20%
Garcia vs. Grabher: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 08 $22 −$22 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner BUY Bebop 40¢ $62 2m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BUY Solary 62¢ $98 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 1 Winner SELL Minkens finest 4¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 1 Winner BUY Minkens finest 9¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 1 Winner BUY Gaming By Legends 10¢ $16 2h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY MASQ 33¢ $53 22h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 50¢ $79 22h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $72 24h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win SELL Top Esports Challenger 100¢ $60 46h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY Top Esports Challenger 43¢ $24 2d
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY Top Esports Challenger 43¢ $2 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $25 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $12 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 62¢ $8 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $3 2d
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb SELL Tristan Schoolkate 100¢ $52 2d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 67¢ $12 2d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 66¢ $29 2d
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb BUY Tristan Schoolkate 71¢ $37 3d
Garcia vs. Grabher: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 53¢ $22 4d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY Zero Tenacity 68¢ $50 4d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group SELL Zero Tenacity 67¢ $48 4d
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group BUY Zero Tenacity 69¢ $50 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+7.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +18.8% +7.5% 57% 57% +9.6%
≤30d 7 +18.8% +7.5% 57% 57% +9.6%
≤90d 7 +18.8% +7.5% 57% 57% +9.6%
all 7 +18.8% +7.5% 57% 57% +9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.5% 57% +9.6%
10% -2.8% 43% -0.8%
15% -12.2% 43% -10.4%
20% -20.8% 29% -19.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $271.11 · official $271.11 (match) · 25 history records