Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:57:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x3554…f433
crypto · 483 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9,594 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,593 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized−$9,593
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses250 / 355
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)605 / 483
History coverage84d
Avg bet$103
Trades / day39.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 605 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,574
7 days−$4,574
14 days−$4,549
30 days−$5,296
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Over 53¢ 52¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 40¢ 40¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will another company be accused of insider trading? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $403 $0 −$403 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $316 $0 −$316 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will another company be accused of insider trading? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$5 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $251 −$251 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$282 -379%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$9 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$53 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$61 -144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$69 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$13 -573%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5,063
weather 0% $0
other 0% +$107
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $10 9m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 53¢ $3 9m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 53¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 12m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 53¢ $16 12m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 40¢ $1 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-34.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 179 -66.1% -69.4% 17% 15% -85.1%
≤30d 314 -37.7% -43.6% 36% 29% -64.4%
≤90d 605 -27.8% -34.7% 41% 37% -27.5%
all 605 -27.8% -34.7% 41% 37% -27.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.7% 37% -27.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.9% 33% -34.5%
15% -46.6% 26% -40.8%
20% -51.9% 21% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.59 · official $21.59 (match) · 3500 history records