trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | Canadiens | 42¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets | Red Wings | 48¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 64¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Pistons | 66¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Islanders vs. Lightning | Lightning | 63¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $12 | +$5 | +44% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$2 | +23% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $22 | +$1 | +6% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$5 | +44% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$6 | +55% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$8 | -80% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +17% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $16 | −$5 | -31% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $20 | +$4 | +21% |
| UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main | Jun 07 | $5 | +$5 | +99% |
| UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai | Jun 07 | $5 | +$2 | +40% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 27 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $4 | +$1 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 21 | $7 | −$2 | -37% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 17 | $10 | +$2 | +19% |
| Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Mar 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | Mar 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Dec 07 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Lakers vs. 76ers | Dec 07 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Islanders vs. Lightning | Dec 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets | Dec 04 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 22 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale? | Nov 22 | $1 | $0 | -33% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +17.1% | +5.9% | 69% | 62% | +0.9% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 58% | 53% | -5.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 58% | 53% | -5.8% |
| all | 27 | -19.9% | -27.6% | 44% | 37% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.6% | 37% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -34.5% | 22% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -40.8% | 19% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -46.6% | 7% | -34.1% |