Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

35
0x3518…1b0f
sports · 65 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$48 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$40
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses24 / 27
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions14
Markets (closed)51 / 65
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day142.0
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Over 7¢ 100¢ $3 $42 +$39 (+1288%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 Under 59¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Under 55¢ 75¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Minnesota Lynx 20¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Gimnasia 68¢ 86¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5 Under 38¢ 47¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+24%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) Las Vegas Aces 58¢ 66¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Under 56¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Knicks 49¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Spurs 64¢ 67¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Over 55¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 68¢ 69¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 38¢ 38¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Zongyu Li Zongyu Li 62¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Spurs 59¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $5 −$3 -60%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $3 $0 -10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $4 $0 -12%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $6 +$2 +39%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 −$2 -40%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Antonia Rivera Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
ITF Los Angeles: Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Monika Ekstrand Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: BALU vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +67%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$2 +156%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +74%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $1 $0 +47%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $1 +$2 +165%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 +$4 +203%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$6 +307%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +51%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Galloway/Peers Jun 13 $1 $0 -7%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$3 +291%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$6 +295%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $3 +$7 +216%
Jesper de Jong vs. Enrico Dalla Valle: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +101%
Wendelken vs. Walton: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +65%
Harry Wendelken vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$4 +413%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Spurs 59¢ $1 10m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 20¢ $1 22m
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Spurs 64¢ $1 24m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5 BUY Under 38¢ $1 24m
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 49¢ $1 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1 25m
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5 BUY Under 59¢ $1 25m
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Zongyu Li BUY Zongyu Li 62¢ $1 40m
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Gimnasia 68¢ $1 43m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 58¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Over 1¢ $0 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners SELL Under 97¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners SELL Under 96¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Under 96¢ $2 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners SELL Under 99¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 8¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 8¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 6¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Under 100¢ $4 1h
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $1 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 12¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 15¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 14¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 43¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 13¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 22¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 14¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +12.7% +2.0% 47% 45% -2.4%
≤30d 51 +12.7% +2.0% 47% 45% -2.4%
≤90d 51 +12.7% +2.0% 47% 45% -2.4%
all 51 +12.7% +2.0% 47% 45% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.0% 45% -2.4%
10% ← realistic here -7.8% 43% -11.8%
15% -16.7% 39% -20.3%
20% -24.8% 33% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $57.37 · official $57.37 (match) · 170 history records