trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 40% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 31% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 31% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 24 | +28.7% | +16.4% | 54% | 4% | -2.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +16.4% | 4% | -2.8% |
| 10% | +5.3% | 4% | -12.1% |
| 15% | -4.9% | 4% | -20.6% |
| 20% | -14.2% | 4% | -28.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 19 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 19 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 06 | $80 | −$2 | -3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 05 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 04 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Jun 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 20 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 55-60% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Canada wins the most gold medals in 2025 Special Olympics? | Mar 14 | $51 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14? | Mar 14 | $5 | +$36 | +679% |
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14? | Mar 13 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 13 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 47.0% on March 14? | Mar 12 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 12 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |