trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 68¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| XRP Up or Down on January 17? | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | Up | 70¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| XRP Up or Down on January 7? | Up | 59¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 76¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Up | 80¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9AM ET | Up | 82¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$156 | +1519% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$111 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $61 | +$137 | +223% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $89 | +$39 | +43% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9AM ET | Feb 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4? | Feb 04 | $10 | +$1 | +7% |
| XRP Up or Down on January 17? | Jan 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Jan 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Jan 14 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 12? | Jan 12 | $10 | +$6 | +61% |
| XRP Up or Down on January 7? | Jan 06 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 7? | Jan 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on January 6? | Jan 06 | $2 | −$1 | -42% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6? | Jan 06 | $5 | +$2 | +41% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 6? | Jan 06 | $10 | +$4 | +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5? | Jan 05 | $10 | +$6 | +62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | Jan 04 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Jan 04 | $5 | +$3 | +55% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | Jan 04 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | Jan 04 | $2 | −$1 | -45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8PM ET | Jan 04 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +473.8% | +419.1% | 100% | 100% | +143.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +473.8% | +419.1% | 100% | 100% | +143.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +473.8% | +419.1% | 100% | 100% | +143.3% |
| all | 22 | +61.2% | +45.9% | 59% | 41% | +97.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +45.9% | 41% | +97.9% |
| 10% | +31.9% | 41% | +79.0% |
| 15% | +19.2% | 41% | +61.7% |
| 20% | +7.5% | 27% | +45.8% |