Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:07:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x3504…9792 crypto 1064 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$63 (-1%) realized −$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate47%503W / 561L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day81.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$210
14 days−$214
30 days−$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$259
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 203 -15.7% -23.7% 55% 36% -24.3%
≤30d 678 -17.5% -25.3% 45% 37% -23.7%
≤90d 1064 -12.2% -20.6% 47% 39% -12.4%
all 1064 -12.2% -20.6% 47% 39% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.6% 39% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -28.2% 32% -20.8%
15% -35.1% 25% -28.5%
20% -41.5% 19% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 31% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$4 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses503 / 561
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1064 / 1064
History coverage35d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day81.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1064 Trades
no open positions (415 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $28 −$28 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$12 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$10 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $27 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3273 history records