Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:46:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
35 0x3501…61ae crypto 1180 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 15d only
✗ bot/MM pace (188 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,587 (-26%) realized −$1,587 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -23% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -40% what you keep after slip
Net edge-40%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate28%388W / 1017L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day187.9pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$613
7 days−$656
14 days−$854
30 days−$954
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$300
other 11% +$3
weather 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (188 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-29.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 598 -41.4% -47.0% 13% 13% -44.7%
≤30d 1405 -22.6% -29.9% 28% 14% -22.5%
≤90d 1405 -22.6% -29.9% 28% 14% -22.5%
all 1405 -22.6% -29.9% 28% 14% -22.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover187.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.9% 14% -22.5%
10% ← realistic here -36.6% 13% -30.0%
15% -42.8% 11% -36.7%
20% -48.4% 7% -42.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -23% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -36% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×1.02 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.39 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,587
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses388 / 1017
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1405 / 1180
History coverage15d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day187.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1405 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -122%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records