Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34e9…7e8c
sports · 1783 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$1,128 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,134 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$81
Realized+$1,134
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses427 / 621
Est. fees paid−$50
Open positions69
Markets (closed)1048 / 1783
History coverage23d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day129.8
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 69 History 1048 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$6
14 days+$173
30 days+$1,134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Yes 5¢ 100¢ $1 $21 +$20 (+1999%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13? Yes 11¢ 37¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+221%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+26%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 52¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 15? Yes 17¢ 34¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+97%)
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 20¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 14? Yes 5¢ 9¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+85%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 13? Yes 18¢ 32¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 14? Yes 15¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14? Yes 13¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+42%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June 14? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$1 (+133%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15? Yes 15¢ 20¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 14? Yes 8¢ 10¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14? Yes 22¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 14? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-41%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-34%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14? Yes 16¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on June 14? Yes 15¢ 8¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-47%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 15? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 53¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-20? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CA Boston River win on 2026-05-20? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Chelsea FC leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Cervia: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Beijing Guoan FC leading at halftime? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Canadiens vs. Sabres Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Pharco FC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
FC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Pyramids FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$8 +770%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$16 +2841%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $1 $0 +32%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 +$4 +344%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5 Jun 13 $1 +$3 +276%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 13 $2 +$10 +470%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$4 +388%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1 +$1 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$915
other 20% +$230
weather 4% +$29
crypto 0% +$15
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 18m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 26m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 30m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $1 33m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1 33m
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 34m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 42m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 46m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 54¢ $1 53m
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 14? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 75¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 70¢ $1 2h
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 20¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 15? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 4h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 39¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 14? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or below on June BUY Yes 3¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+44.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +15.9% +4.8% 31% 31% -20.4%
≤30d 1048 +59.3% +44.2% 41% 38% +45.8%
≤90d 1048 +59.3% +44.2% 41% 38% +45.8%
all 1048 +59.3% +44.2% 41% 38% +45.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +44.2% 38% +45.8%
10% ← realistic here +30.4% 36% +31.8%
15% +17.8% 34% +19.1%
20% +6.2% 33% +7.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.71 · official $80.61 (match) · 3500 history records