Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:07:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34dc…d76d
crypto · 614 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses418 / 189
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)607 / 614
History coverage91d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 7 History 607 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 58¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 85¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+18%)
Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 60¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $13 +$23 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 −$3 -23%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $45 +$17 +39%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% −$60
sports 16% −$36
other 8% +$46
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $8 14m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 56¢ $4 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 97¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 85¢ $2 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL Leviatán Esports 34¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL Leviatán Esports 34¢ $1 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL Leviatán Esports 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 47¢ $1 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $2 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -1.9% -11.2% 65% 11% -7.3%
≤30d 282 -1.3% -10.7% 71% 7% -8.8%
≤90d 603 -3.3% -12.5% 69% 24% -11.7%
all 607 -3.8% -12.9% 69% 24% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.9% 24% -12.0%
10% -21.3% 12% -20.4%
15% -28.9% 10% -28.1%
20% -35.8% 7% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.99 · official $44.99 (match) · 1337 history records