Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:10:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34d9…ba9c
crypto · 1140 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$943 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$146 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$146
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1021 / 118
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1139 / 1140
History coverage69d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$29
14 days+$72
30 days+$147
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Up 91¢ 90¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$27 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $13 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$146
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $12 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $23 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $11 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $21 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $17 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $6 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $0 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $14 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $18 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +4.2% -5.7% 96% 24% -7.3%
≤30d 293 +3.6% -6.3% 96% 14% -7.0%
≤90d 1139 +2.0% -7.7% 90% 34% -8.7%
all 1139 +2.0% -7.7% 90% 34% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 34% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 3% -17.4%
15% -24.6% 1% -25.4%
20% -32.0% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.85 · official $10.86 (match) · 3500 history records