Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:29:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34d7…0c31
crypto · 62 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$26 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses43 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage20d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$5 -54%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 24 $5 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 24 $7 +$2 +27%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 24 $7 +$5 +65%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 24 $17 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET May 24 $10 +$2 +23%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 24 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET May 24 $13 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET May 24 $15 −$4 -28%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET May 24 $13 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET May 24 $21 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET May 24 $4 +$2 +43%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET May 24 $12 +$7 +55%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET May 24 $11 −$5 -45%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET May 24 $8 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET May 24 $10 +$3 +29%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET May 24 $10 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET May 24 $14 +$6 +39%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET May 24 $13 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET May 24 $8 +$2 +29%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET May 24 $10 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 23 $5 +$2 +37%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 23 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 23 $7 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 23 $4 +$3 +83%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 23 $4 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 23 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 23 $4 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 23 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -9.3% -17.9% 64% 59% -14.0%
≤30d 62 +1.7% -8.0% 69% 58% -3.3%
≤90d 62 +1.7% -8.0% 69% 58% -3.3%
all 62 +1.7% -8.0% 69% 58% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 58% -3.3%
10% -16.8% 44% -12.6%
15% -24.9% 26% -21.0%
20% -32.2% 11% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 268 history records