Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T10:59:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
34 0x34c6…d0db crypto 685 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3478 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$2,245 (+314%) realized +$2,224 · open +$21
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -26% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -43% what you keep after slip
Net edge-43%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate4%21W / 497L
Drawdown40%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day3478.0pace
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$23now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% +$1,000
other 7% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3478 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-32.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 518 -25.9% -32.9% 4% 4% -1.8%
≤30d 518 -25.9% -32.9% 4% 4% -1.8%
≤90d 518 -25.9% -32.9% 4% 4% -1.8%
all 518 -25.9% -32.9% 4% 4% -1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3478.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.9% 4% -1.8%
10% ← realistic here -39.3% 4% -11.2%
15% -45.2% 4% -19.8%
20% -50.6% 4% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 45% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +126% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -26% · $-wt +126% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +48% → late -100% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
5.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$57 vs −$1 · ×55.3 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.34 per $1 lost it wins $2.34
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$23
Realized+$2,224
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses21 / 497
Open positions3
Markets (closed)518 / 685
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3478.0
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 518 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 1¢ 14¢ $1 $19 +$18 (+1350%)
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 1¢ 6¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+450%)
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 0¢ 14¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 497 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.41 · official $31.21 · 3500 history records