Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:45:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34b7…1342
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$352 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$353 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized+$353
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses46 / 3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)49 / 52
History coverage128d
Avg bet$124
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 3 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$3
30 days+$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 13? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1,136 −$1 -0%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $2,503 −$3 -0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 10 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 8? Jun 08 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? Jun 05 $30 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $90 on June 4? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 4? Jun 04 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 3? Jun 04 $11 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3? Jun 03 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 2? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 2? Jun 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 1? Jun 02 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1? Jun 02 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 30? Jun 01 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 30? Jun 01 $10 $0 +0%
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 29? May 30 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? May 30 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28? May 29 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28? May 29 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 27? May 28 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 27? May 28 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 26? May 27 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26? May 27 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 25? May 26 $10 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET May 26 $40 +$42 +104%
Will Solana reach $105 on May 23? May 25 $11 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 May 18-24? May 25 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? May 23 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 22? May 23 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 21? May 22 $10 $0 +0%
Will Solana reach $110 on May 21? May 22 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 20? May 21 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20? May 21 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19? May 20 $10 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on May 19? May 20 $30 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 18? May 19 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 18? May 19 $30 $0 +0%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 11? Mar 12 $314 +$314 +100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5? Mar 11 $2 $0 +2%
Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary Feb 05 $1,550 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 63% −$3
other 23% +$312
crypto 15% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 1h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $1,135 1h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $1,136 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 June 8-14? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $2,500 1h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $2,503 1h
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $10 28h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 28h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $30 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $10 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 3d
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $10 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $30 4d
Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $10 5d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 8? BUY No 100¢ $30 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $10 8d
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $30 8d
Will Solana reach $90 on June 4? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 4? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 9d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 3? BUY No 99¢ $11 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $30 10d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $10 11d
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $30 11d
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $10 12d
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $30 12d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $10 14d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $30 14d
Will XRP reach $1.55 on May 29? BUY No 100¢ $10 15d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $30 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-5.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +0.1% -9.4% 83% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 46 +2.4% -7.3% 96% 2% -8.7%
≤90d 46 +2.4% -7.3% 96% 2% -8.7%
all 49 +4.4% -5.6% 94% 4% -4.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.6% 4% -4.5%
10% -14.6% 4% -13.7%
15% -22.9% 4% -22.0%
20% -30.4% 4% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.72 · official $43.73 (match) · 102 history records