Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:41:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34b2…03e1
crypto · 87 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$324 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$324 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized−$324
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses44 / 42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)86 / 87
History coverage2d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day684.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$324
7 days−$324
14 days−$324
30 days−$324
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 69¢ 66¢ $92 $89 −$3 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 35¢ 34¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $114 −$67 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$25 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $142 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $79 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$13 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$42 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $118 −$81 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $138 +$12 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$73 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $128 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $58 +$24 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $127 +$29 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$75 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $141 −$77 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $125 +$22 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $114 +$17 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $116 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $220 +$59 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $231 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $77 +$18 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$33 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$5 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$9 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$17 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$10 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $105 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $75 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$25 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $81 −$47 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$22 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $111 −$29 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $166 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$19 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $93 −$22 -23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$324
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $13 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -4.6% -13.7% 51% 38% -13.8%
≤30d 86 -4.6% -13.7% 51% 38% -13.8%
≤90d 86 -4.6% -13.7% 51% 38% -13.8%
all 86 -4.6% -13.7% 51% 38% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover684.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 38% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 23% -22.0%
15% -29.5% 8% -29.6%
20% -36.4% 5% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.69 · official $81.68 · 1125 history records