Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x34a9…d343
crypto · 1300 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,052 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,012 · open −$40
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,012
Unrealized−$40
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses589 / 716
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1305 / 1300
History coverage110d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 1305 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$554
7 days+$388
14 days+$388
30 days+$282
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 56¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
US Lecce vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 8? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22? Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-22? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22? Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $427 +$313 +73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $205 +$125 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$75 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$55 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$7,022
sports 20% −$1,014
other 7% −$454
weather 1% +$45
world 0% +$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 57¢ $427 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $103 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $104 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $103 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $103 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $103 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $105 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $106 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 301 -4.6% -13.7% 41% 41% -8.1%
≤30d 302 -5.0% -14.0% 41% 41% -8.5%
≤90d 353 -8.0% -16.8% 40% 39% -14.6%
all 1305 -13.8% -22.0% 45% 43% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.0% 43% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -29.5% 39% -23.9%
15% -36.3% 34% -31.3%
20% -42.5% 28% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.07 (match) · 3500 history records