Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T11:03:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x349f…d12f
other · 7 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$2 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)3 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 4 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 63¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% +$2
sports 42% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 81¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $2 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 37h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 76¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $2 2d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+21.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +34.0% +21.2% 67% 67% +23.9%
≤30d 3 +34.0% +21.2% 67% 67% +23.9%
≤90d 3 +34.0% +21.2% 67% 67% +23.9%
all 3 +34.0% +21.2% 67% 67% +23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +21.2% 67% +23.9%
10% +9.6% 67% +12.1%
15% -1.0% 67% +1.2%
20% -10.7% 33% -8.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.23 · official $8.24 (match) · 9 history records