Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:49:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x349e…867b
sports · 605 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,064 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$932 · open −$133
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$624
Realized−$932
Unrealized−$133
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses304 / 278
Est. fees paid−$269
Open positions25
Markets (closed)582 / 605
History coverage16d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day186.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 25 History 582 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$153
7 days−$857
14 days−$1,057
30 days−$932
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Heretics 48¢ 48¢ $190 $190 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 14¢ 14¢ $123 $127 +$4 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 82¢ 80¢ $53 $52 −$1 (-1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 33¢ 32¢ $52 $52 −$0 (-0%)
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Forsaken 46¢ 53¢ $26 $30 +$4 (+16%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Forsaken 23¢ 24¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 71¢ 71¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-0%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 68¢ 98¢ $13 $18 +$6 (+43%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 34¢ 36¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 35¢ 36¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 72¢ 76¢ $11 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Level UP 55¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$5 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 60¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+67%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Nemiga Gaming 56¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$5 (+78%)
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Paris Gentle Mates 50¢ 48¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Added vs. Luque: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Over 75¢ 100¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+33%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 31¢ 34¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+9%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 13¢ 10¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-18%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner Carolina Royal Ravens 36¢ 32¢ $6 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 2 Winner G2 Minnesota 38¢ 37¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Leviatán Esports 33¢ 0¢ $66 $1 −$65 (-98%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 36¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$33 (-99%)
PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 Over 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 Over 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 37¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$7 +5228%
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$35 +34545%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $95 −$46 -49%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $10 +$6 +58%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $218 +$204 +94%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $12 +$9 +72%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$11 +56%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$18 -44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $38 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$12 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 +$56 +88%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $10 +$2 +17%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $36 +$8 +22%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $71 +$21 +29%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $12 +$7 +58%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $27 +$6 +23%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $71 +$27 +38%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $23 +$8 +35%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $13 +$2 +16%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $22 +$9 +40%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa vs Carolina Alves Jun 11 $12 +$3 +28%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $54 −$54 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Lily Taylor Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$4 +53%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $14 −$4 -30%
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5) Jun 11 $29 −$16 -56%
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $47 −$47 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Salma Ewing vs Maria Aytoyan Jun 11 $7 +$17 +246%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$5 +51%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $15 +$9 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$1,058
other 2% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 48¢ $111 1m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 69¢ $5 4m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $6 5m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $4 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $41 6m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $2 7m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 66¢ $5 8m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $2 9m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 72¢ $6 9m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 74¢ $6 9m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 74¢ $8 11m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $2 11m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $1 11m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $2 12m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $1 12m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 75¢ $5 15m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 68¢ $13 21m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 32¢ $1 35m
Added vs. Luque: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 75¢ $6 35m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 35¢ $30 37m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 40¢ $4 39m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Heretics 49¢ $24 43m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 32¢ $2 58m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 24¢ $3 58m
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty Le BUY Paris Gentle Mates 50¢ $10 1h
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Carolina Royal Ravens - Game 2 Winner BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 36¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $19 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 32¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $12 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Leviatán Esports 33¢ $54 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 +3.1% -6.7% 50% 49% -18.4%
≤30d 582 +7.0% -3.2% 52% 51% -14.6%
≤90d 582 +7.0% -3.2% 52% 51% -14.6%
all 582 +7.0% -3.2% 52% 51% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover186.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.2% 51% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -12.4% 47% -22.8%
15% -20.9% 40% -30.2%
20% -28.7% 29% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $623.61 · official $623.18 (match) · 3500 history records