Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:12:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x349e…f009
sports · 135 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$20 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses64 / 70
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)134 / 135
History coverage114d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Elitzur Netanya Elitzur Netanya 37¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Miami Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jelena Ostapenko Jelena Ostapenko 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage UNO MILLE 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season CCG Esports 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs FULLPOWER (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs FULLPOWER 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Bitfix Gaming vs UNIWAY (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B UNIWAY 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Quimsa vs. Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage MASQ 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Saski Baskonia vs. Granada Granada 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dota 2: GLYPH vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage InterActive Philippines 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: RED Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs RED Academy 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Merida Open Akron: Marina Stakusic vs Dayana Yastremska Yastremska 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Carolyn Ansari Carolyn Ansari 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Knicks Pacers 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan Traktor 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Pelicans Raptors 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Lakers Timberwolves 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs Natus Vincere 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Bucks Jazz 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Verdant vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Round WLGaming Esports 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season KAJO 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Fenerbahce vs. Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce Esenler Erokspor 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $2 +$3 +226%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $2 +$3 +226%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs FULLPOWER (BO3) - TESFED League Playof Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 03 $2 −$2 -98%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Malaysia vs China Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Boca Juniors vs. Quimsa Jun 01 $2 +$3 +152%
PAOK vs. Panathinaikos May 30 $4 +$1 +32%
Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
BC Dubai vs. Buducnost May 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Fenerbahce vs. Esenler Erokspor May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket May 26 $3 +$2 +49%
Quimsa vs. Boca Juniors May 26 $3 +$2 +45%
BC Zenit vs. Unics Kazan May 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: May 24 $3 +$2 +47%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America May 22 $1 +$4 +733%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - BC Game Master May 21 $3 +$2 +56%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 20 $4 +$1 +35%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kiwoom Heroes May 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Grou May 18 $1 +$4 +276%
Saski Baskonia vs. Granada May 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bourg-en-Bresse vs. BCM Gravelines Dunkerque May 16 $4 +$1 +21%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun May 15 $0 $0 -100%
Saski Baskonia vs. CB Murcia May 14 $3 +$2 +56%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TNC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage May 13 $3 +$2 +52%
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champ May 12 $2 +$3 +216%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: FORZE Esports vs Verso Time (BO3) - MLBB Con May 11 $4 +$1 +12%
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions May 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Quimsa vs. Instituto Cordoba May 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Sout May 08 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs SINQU (BO3) - European Pro League Regu May 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Cha May 06 $3 +$2 +54%
LoL: RED Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiant May 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage May 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: KAJO vs BOJONG (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season May 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Akita Northern Happinets vs. Saga Ballooners May 02 $0 $0 -100%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Mideng Dreamer (BO1) - ACL X ESL Challenger May 01 $1 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: DOGSENT vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Apr 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Jiujiang: Giles Hussey vs Jason Jung Apr 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europ Apr 27 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: AKA HERO vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Apr 26 $3 +$2 +52%
Valorant: Joblife vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Re Apr 26 $4 +$1 +25%
Ferro Carril Oeste vs. Penarol Apr 24 $2 −$1 -98%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Estar Backs (BO3) - DreamLeague Divis Apr 24 $4 +$1 +32%
Valorant: 9z Team vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America Sou Apr 24 $2 +$3 +206%
Savannah: Michael Mmoh vs Franco Roncadelli Apr 21 $1 +$4 +456%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Apr 20 $4 +$1 +35%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Apr 19 $3 +$2 +52%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call Apr 18 $3 +$2 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Elitzur Netanya BUY Elitzur Netanya 37¢ $2 1h
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BUY BC Dubai 30¢ $2 2d
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta BUY 100 Thieves 31¢ $2 3d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri BUY KOLESIE 30¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Ser BUY Misa Esports 29¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs FULLPOWER (BO3) - TESFED League Playof BUY FULLPOWER 20¢ $1 7d
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY RUSTEC 33¢ $2 11d
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Malaysia vs China BUY Malaysia 98¢ $5 12d
Boca Juniors vs. Quimsa BUY Quimsa 39¢ $2 14d
PAOK vs. Panathinaikos BUY Panathinaikos 76¢ $4 15d
Esenler Erokspor vs. Fenerbahce BUY Esenler Erokspor 17¢ $1 15d
BC Dubai vs. Buducnost BUY Buducnost 23¢ $1 17d
Fenerbahce vs. Esenler Erokspor BUY Esenler Erokspor 13¢ $1 18d
Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket BUY Reyer Venezia 67¢ $3 19d
Quimsa vs. Boca Juniors BUY Quimsa 69¢ $3 20d
BC Zenit vs. Unics Kazan BUY BC Zenit 69¢ $3 21d
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: BUY ASTRAL 68¢ $3 22d
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America BUY paiN Academy 12¢ $1 23d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Inner Circle Esports (BO1) - BC Game Master BUY Inner Circle Esports 64¢ $3 24d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A BUY Legacy 74¢ $4 25d
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY SSG Landers 62¢ $3 26d
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Grou BUY XI Esport 26¢ $1 27d
Saski Baskonia vs. Granada BUY Granada 9¢ $0 28d
Bourg-en-Bresse vs. BCM Gravelines Dunkerque BUY Bourg-en-Bresse 82¢ $4 29d
Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 10¢ $0 30d
Saski Baskonia vs. CB Murcia BUY Saski Baskonia 64¢ $3 31d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TNC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage BUY SPARTA 66¢ $3 32d
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Asian Champ BUY Kaleido Gaming 31¢ $2 33d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: FORZE Esports vs Verso Time (BO3) - MLBB Con BUY Verso Time 89¢ $4 34d
Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions BUY Shanxi Loongs 67¢ $3 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +63.2% +47.7% 50% 50% +49.2%
≤30d 23 +39.2% +26.0% 57% 52% +12.7%
≤90d 93 -8.5% -17.2% 47% 45% -8.9%
all 134 -10.6% -19.1% 48% 46% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 46% -13.8%
10% -26.9% 42% -22.0%
15% -33.9% 28% -29.6%
20% -40.4% 23% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.82 · official $1.82 (match) · 209 history records