Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:01:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3499…45ed
crypto · 2209 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$3,220 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,226 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,226
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses873 / 510
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1383 / 2209
History coverage8d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day327.5
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1383 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$251
7 days+$2,192
14 days+$3,226
30 days+$3,226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,725
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+49.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1016 +49.3% +35.1% 57% 55% +50.3%
≤30d 1383 +64.9% +49.2% 63% 61% +56.4%
≤90d 1383 +64.9% +49.2% 63% 61% +56.4%
all 1383 +64.9% +49.2% 63% 61% +56.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover327.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +49.2% 61% +56.4%
10% ← realistic here +35.0% 61% +41.4%
15% +21.9% 61% +27.8%
20% +10.0% 60% +15.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.10 · official $0.10 (match) · 3500 history records