Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:24:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3496…8fc4
sports · 56 markets active 19h ago
0.0score
−$159,262 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159,262 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$159,262
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses21 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$30,602
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 56
History coverage11d
Avg bet$40,402
Trades / day311.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$295,519
7 days−$140,875
14 days−$159,262
30 days−$159,262
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Ghana (-1.5) Ghana 10¢ 0¢ $1,079 $0 −$1,079 (-100%)
Exact Score: Slovakia 1 - 2 Malta? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $128 $0 −$128 (-100%)
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $66,150 $0 −$66,150 (-100%)
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $100,657 $0 −$100,657 (-100%)
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $99,810 $0 −$99,810 (-100%)
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Under 77¢ 0¢ $11,550 $0 −$11,550 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3,100 $0 −$3,100 (-100%)
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 4.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01? No 18¢ 0¢ $7,289 $0 −$7,289 (-100%)
Exact Score: Bulgaria 0 - 0 Montenegro? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $267 $0 −$267 (-100%)
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $638 $0 −$638 (-100%)
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $40,598 $0 −$40,598 (-100%)
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $1,080 $0 −$1,080 (-100%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? No 30¢ 0¢ $4,734 $0 −$4,734 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 45¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Will Norway vs. Sweden end in a draw? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1,130 $0 −$1,130 (-100%)
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5) Ukraine 8¢ 0¢ $38,897 $0 −$38,897 (-100%)
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31? No 12¢ 0¢ $3,029 $0 −$3,029 (-100%)
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $19,948 $0 −$19,948 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Over 6¢ 0¢ $442 $0 −$442 (-100%)
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $96,477 $0 −$96,477 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? No 33¢ 0¢ $13,504 $0 −$13,504 (-100%)
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $5,688 $0 −$5,688 (-100%)
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $50,860 $0 −$50,860 (-100%)
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $13,504 −$13,504 -100%
Czechia vs. Kosovo: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5,688 −$5,688 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $166,751 −$115,592 -69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $442 −$442 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $175,219 −$158,884 -91%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $78,695 +$42,275 +54%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $50,863 −$50,860 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $7,670 +$7,175 +94%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $10,164 −$10,000 -98%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $66,022 +$33,874 +51%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $641 −$638 -100%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $673 −$672 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $355,804 +$408,523 +115%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $45 −$1 -1%
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5) Jun 07 $39,867 −$38,897 -98%
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $66,154 −$66,150 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4,804 −$4,734 -98%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $100,760 −$100,657 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $57,587 −$53,947 -94%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $62,001 −$29,001 -47%
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $17,760 −$85 -0%
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $120 −$120 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1,135 +$845 +74%
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $24,340 +$15,908 +65%
Belarus vs. Syria: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $6,002 +$398 +7%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $34 +$13 +39%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $4,116 −$4,100 -100%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $21,714 +$12,499 +58%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $131 +$136 +104%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $17 +$26 +153%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $11,555 −$11,550 -100%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $131,062 +$118,680 +91%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $97,005 −$96,634 -100%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $156,200 +$63,522 +41%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $3,702 +$1,246 +34%
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $12,237 −$12,200 -100%
Will Israel win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $75,050 +$4,833 +6%
Will Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 02 $2,782 +$1,348 +48%
Spread: Ghana (-1.5) Jun 02 $1,082 −$1,079 -100%
Will Romania win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $2,209 −$2,200 -100%
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $1,080 −$1,080 -100%
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $4,283 +$2,294 +54%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $16,767 +$7,117 +42%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $142,171 +$51,482 +36%
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $3,112 −$3,100 -100%
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $2,529 +$398 +16%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $99,812 −$99,810 -100%
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $40,622 −$40,598 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 Jun 01 $19,955 −$19,948 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$78,305
other 12% −$66,597
world 3% +$4,833
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $15 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $2,232 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $15 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $30 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $45 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $30 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $45 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $9 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $15 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $37 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $172 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $17 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $13 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $15 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $30 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $7 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $16 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $76 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $17 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $5 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $13 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $4 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $6 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $0 19h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 13¢ $76 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-44.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -45.4% -50.6% 27% 23% -19.7%
≤30d 58 -38.2% -44.1% 36% 33% -15.9%
≤90d 58 -38.2% -44.1% 36% 33% -15.9%
all 58 -38.2% -44.1% 36% 33% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover311.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -44.1% 33% -15.9%
10% -49.4% 31% -24.0%
15% ← realistic here -54.3% 29% -31.3%
20% -58.8% 19% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records