trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -10.7% | -19.2% | 30% | 30% | -20.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -18.8% | -26.5% | 27% | 27% | -37.8% |
| all | 14 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 36% | 36% | -26.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 36% | -26.1% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 36% | -33.2% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 36% | -39.7% |
| 20% | -32.4% | 36% | -45.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 68¢ | 68¢ | $5,389 | $5,391 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $994 | $973 | −$22 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $37 | +$7 (+22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 03 | $30 | −$23 | -77% |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 03 | $204 | −$85 | -42% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca | Jun 02 | $32 | +$31 | +95% |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 02 | $85 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 01 | $69 | −$15 | -21% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi | Jun 01 | $15 | +$14 | +93% |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 01 | $13 | −$9 | -71% |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | May 31 | $42 | +$30 | +71% |
| Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 30 | $18 | −$18 | -97% |
| Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in th | Mar 31 | $142 | −$142 | -100% |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Mar 18 | $75 | +$39 | +52% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 18 | $16 | +$30 | +187% |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Jan 30 | $15 | −$2 | -13% |