Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:16:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3491…499f
crypto · 246 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$17 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses240 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)246 / 246
History coverage9d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 246 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$9
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +5%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$25
finance 3% −$18
other 3% +$2
sports 1% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
BNB Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 14? BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $14 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $14 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $14 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 243 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 246 +0.7% -8.8% 98% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 246 +0.7% -8.8% 98% 0% -9.3%
all 246 +0.7% -8.8% 98% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 0% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.5% 0% -25.9%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 494 history records