Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:10:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x348e…00a1
sports · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses3 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)7 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 3 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? Yes 44¢ 43¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 44¢ 6¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-85%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -29%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 +$7 +145%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 52% +$7
other 27% $0
crypto 21% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $5 48m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 99¢ $7 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 15¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 20¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 44¢ $5 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $12 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 40¢ $5 22h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 23h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $13 44h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 39¢ $5 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -0.4% -9.9% 43% 43% -4.4%
≤30d 7 -0.4% -9.9% 43% 43% -4.4%
≤90d 7 -0.4% -9.9% 43% 43% -4.4%
all 7 -0.4% -9.9% 43% 43% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 43% -4.4%
10% -18.5% 43% -13.5%
15% -26.4% 29% -21.9%
20% -33.6% 29% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.57 · official $10.57 (match) · 15 history records