trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +5.3% | -4.7% | 17% | 17% | +0.1% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 14% | 14% | -22.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -9.7% | -18.3% | 14% | 14% | -22.3% |
| all | 111 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 29% | 28% | -29.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 28% | -29.7% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 26% | -36.5% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 25% | -42.6% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 23% | -48.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $51 | $49 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 11¢ | 3¢ | $150 | $46 | −$104 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $205 | −$10 | -5% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $166 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $205 | −$54 | -26% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $98 | +$264 | +269% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $203 | −$200 | -98% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 08 | $464 | −$464 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Knicks | Feb 02 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Pistons | Feb 02 | $100 | −$60 | -60% |
| Jazz vs. Raptors | Feb 01 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Feb 01 | $100 | +$335 | +335% |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets | Feb 01 | $100 | −$78 | -78% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Feb 01 | $100 | −$78 | -78% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 26 | $500 | −$255 | -51% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks | Jan 25 | $25 | +$141 | +566% |
| Celtics vs. Bulls | Jan 25 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Pistons | Jan 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Spurs | Jan 19 | $71 | −$21 | -30% |
| Mavericks vs. Knicks | Jan 19 | $80 | +$53 | +66% |
| Raptors vs. Lakers | Jan 19 | $1,500 | −$417 | -28% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | Jan 19 | $300 | −$205 | -68% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 19 | $1,067 | +$1,377 | +129% |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Jan 18 | $648 | −$27 | -4% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | Jan 18 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Raptors | Jan 17 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Nets | Jan 17 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Jan 13 | $100 | +$96 | +96% |
| Hornets vs. Clippers | Jan 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Jan 13 | $257 | −$209 | -81% |
| Nets vs. Mavericks | Jan 13 | $100 | −$29 | -29% |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Jan 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Cavaliers | Jan 13 | $50 | +$148 | +296% |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | Jan 13 | $50 | −$38 | -76% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 12 | $400 | +$255 | +64% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 12 | $149 | −$121 | -81% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | Jan 12 | $50 | +$111 | +222% |
| Bucks vs. Nuggets | Jan 12 | $52 | +$115 | +222% |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | Jan 12 | $50 | +$116 | +233% |
| Hawks vs. Warriors | Jan 12 | $50 | −$15 | -30% |
| 49ers vs. Eagles | Jan 12 | $400 | +$47 | +12% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $380 | −$30 | -8% |
| Spurs vs. Celtics | Jan 11 | $15 | −$3 | -22% |
| Mavericks vs. Bulls | Jan 11 | $50 | −$38 | -75% |
| Rams vs. Panthers | Jan 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Spurs | Jan 08 | $60 | −$1 | -2% |
| Clippers vs. Knicks | Jan 08 | $60 | −$56 | -94% |
| Raptors vs. Hornets | Jan 08 | $60 | −$45 | -76% |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics | Jan 08 | $60 | +$216 | +360% |