Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:12:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x347d…098a
sports · 1456 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$122 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$679 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,525
Realized−$679
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1288 / 152
Est. fees paid−$339
Open positions19
Markets (closed)1440 / 1456
History coverage69d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day30.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 19 History 1440 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$324
7 days+$161
14 days−$416
30 days−$777
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? No 88¢ 100¢ $150 $170 +$20 (+14%)
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? No 88¢ 100¢ $150 $170 +$20 (+13%)
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes 88¢ 99¢ $150 $168 +$18 (+12%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first? No 90¢ 100¢ $150 $167 +$17 (+11%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Over 93¢ 100¢ $150 $161 +$11 (+7%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? No 94¢ 100¢ $150 $159 +$9 (+6%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ 96¢ $150 $159 +$9 (+6%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 99¢ $150 $155 +$5 (+3%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? No 94¢ 94¢ $150 $150 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? No 88¢ 85¢ $150 $145 −$5 (-3%)
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No 83¢ 76¢ $150 $137 −$13 (-8%)
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Türkiye 95¢ 86¢ $150 $137 −$13 (-9%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? No 91¢ 81¢ $150 $133 −$17 (-11%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? No 87¢ 72¢ $150 $124 −$26 (-17%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 88¢ 74¢ $132 $110 −$22 (-16%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 88¢ 61¢ $150 $104 −$46 (-31%)
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 96¢ 100¢ $80 $83 +$3 (+4%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 96¢ 99¢ $80 $83 +$3 (+4%)
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 86¢ 100¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+17%)
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner Dorado Gaming 91¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 88¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Zena Esports 72¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 Dplus KIA Challengers 84¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha G2 Esports 86¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-21.5) Jun 14 $150 +$16 +11%
Spread: Spurs (-25.5) Jun 14 $150 +$9 +6%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $9 $0 +5%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $150 +$18 +12%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $150 +$8 +5%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $150 +$8 +5%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $150 +$16 +11%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $150 +$15 +10%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $149 +$18 +12%
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Jun 14 $149 +$9 +6%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $150 +$6 +4%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $150 +$6 +4%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $150 +$11 +7%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $150 +$9 +6%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $150 +$8 +5%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $150 +$8 +5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $150 +$11 +7%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $150 +$16 +11%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $150 +$10 +7%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $151 +$20 +13%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $150 +$18 +12%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $150 +$15 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $150 +$6 +4%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $150 +$9 +6%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $150 +$6 +4%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $151 +$20 +13%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $150 +$15 +10%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $150 +$13 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $150 +$6 +4%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $150 +$11 +7%
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $150 +$10 +6%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $151 −$150 -100%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr Jun 13 $122 −$121 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $151 −$150 -100%
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs CHAOS (BO3) - United21 Group D Jun 13 $59 +$6 +10%
Will Nationalist Party win the most seats in the House of Representati Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 20 Jun 13 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives i Jun 13 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Jun 13 $100 +$5 +5%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Q Jun 13 $98 +$9 +9%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Jun 13 $100 +$10 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% −$1,073
other 23% +$20
world 3% +$31
politics 3% +$149
tech 1% +$53
culture 1% +$51
finance 0% +$52
economics 0% +$20
crypto 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY No 94¢ $9 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY No 94¢ $67 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY No 94¢ $27 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first? BUY No 90¢ $87 1h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? BUY No 94¢ $47 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first? BUY No 90¢ $18 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Neither team to score first? BUY No 90¢ $45 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $150 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $150 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $150 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? BUY No 94¢ $150 1h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 87¢ $24 3h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 87¢ $19 3h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 87¢ $97 3h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 87¢ $5 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY No 91¢ $13 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY No 91¢ $137 4h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY No 88¢ $150 4h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 95¢ $150 4h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY No 87¢ $4 4h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY No 88¢ $151 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY No 91¢ $150 4h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 94¢ $149 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 89¢ $149 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY No 90¢ $150 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? BUY No 95¢ $150 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY No 90¢ $28 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY No 90¢ $100 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY No 90¢ $22 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY No 95¢ $150 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 -2.3% -11.6% 90% 25% -8.8%
≤30d 616 -1.9% -11.2% 89% 31% -10.4%
≤90d 1440 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 39% -9.6%
all 1440 +0.1% -9.5% 89% 39% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 39% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 5% -18.2%
15% -26.0% 3% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,525.29 · official $2,525.29 (match) · 3500 history records