trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | $2,491 | $3,341 | +$849 (+34%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Yes | 90¢ | 89¢ | $2,781 | $2,734 | −$47 (-2%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $1,642 | $1,738 | +$96 (+6%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 88¢ | $920 | $883 | −$36 (-4%) |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $470 | $500 | +$30 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 11 | $894 | +$6 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 11 | $2,212 | +$194 | +9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | Jun 10 | $460 | +$40 | +9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | Jun 10 | $5,558 | +$219 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | Jun 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | Jun 06 | $1,065 | +$66 | +6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | Jun 06 | $18,244 | +$1,750 | +10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | Jun 03 | $14,856 | +$1,506 | +10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | May 30 | $11,959 | +$950 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? | May 25 | $11,221 | +$984 | +9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | May 22 | $9,470 | +$268 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? | May 18 | $10,512 | +$853 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? | May 11 | $5,448 | +$503 | +9% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10? | May 10 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | May 08 | $5,435 | +$211 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | May 05 | $2,784 | +$240 | +9% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 86% | 0% | -2.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -2.0% | -11.4% | 92% | 0% | -2.4% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 94% | 0% | -2.5% |
| all | 16 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 94% | 0% | -2.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -9.5% | 0% | -2.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -18.2% | 0% | -11.8% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -20.3% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -28.2% |