trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 44% | 11% | -10.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 40% | 10% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.2% | -8.4% | 40% | 10% | -10.3% |
| all | 27 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 56% | 11% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 11% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 7% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 7% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 4% | -31.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$1 | +20% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $52 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $16 | +$1 | +5% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $54 | −$1 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $89 | −$4 | -5% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $23 | −$2 | -9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 25 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit Los Angeles by Friday? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National minority? | May 14 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 02 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Apr 01 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 31 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $55 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 22 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before April? | Mar 20 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? | Mar 19 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Dayton vs. Rhode Island | Feb 28 | $31 | +$18 | +56% |
| Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parlia | Feb 26 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Feb 26 | $36 | $0 | -0% |