Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3471…f17e
sports · 145 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$957 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,883 · open +$6,248
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28,828
Realized−$8,883
Unrealized+$6,248
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses79 / 90
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$10,606
Open positions11
Markets (closed)169 / 145
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5,421
Trades / day462.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 11 History 169 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,867
7 days−$8,883
14 days−$8,883
30 days−$8,883
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 30¢ 100¢ $2,365 $7,995 +$5,631 (+238%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 66¢ 78¢ $6,635 $7,800 +$1,166 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 45¢ 100¢ $2,472 $5,488 +$3,015 (+122%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Paper Rex 81¢ 100¢ $3,304 $4,084 +$780 (+24%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 55¢ 56¢ $1,713 $1,743 +$30 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 76¢ 100¢ $1,186 $1,568 +$381 (+32%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Heretics 22¢ 44¢ $52 $104 +$53 (+102%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 12¢ 12¢ $37 $37 +$0 (+0%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 40¢ 0¢ $2,682 $3 −$2,679 (-100%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 33¢ 0¢ $1,647 $3 −$1,644 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 40¢ 0¢ $187 $2 −$185 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 27¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 3¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 34¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 40¢ 0¢ $342 $0 −$342 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner NRG 41¢ 0¢ $888 $0 −$888 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 67¢ 0¢ $1,305 $0 −$1,305 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 39¢ 0¢ $837 $0 −$837 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $660 $0 −$660 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 26¢ 0¢ $1,042 $0 −$1,042 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 34¢ 0¢ $336 $0 −$336 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 26¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 31¢ 0¢ $1,740 $0 −$1,740 (-100%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner XLG Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $5,721 $0 −$5,721 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $888 −$619 -70%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,305 −$3,119 -239%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,042 −$1,042 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,740 −$1,028 -59%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $569 −$35 -6%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,359 −$2,359 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,884 −$2,556 -89%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $516 −$222 -43%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $20 +$651 +3220%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $1,647 −$420 -26%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $553 −$553 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $559 −$505 -90%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $276 −$276 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $1,653 −$1,631 -99%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $988 −$988 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,007 −$50 -5%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,804 −$2,974 -106%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Jun 12 $1,917 −$1,414 -74%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,180 −$1,180 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $45 +$399 +882%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $16 +$2,113 +12859%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $835 −$835 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $1,372 −$865 -63%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $55 +$34 +61%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $282 −$276 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $870 +$79 +9%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $249 −$136 -55%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,547 −$1,547 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,504 −$1,375 -91%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $1,953 −$1,839 -94%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $483 −$456 -94%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 12 $0 −$100 -97865%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,276 −$5,170 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $2,321 −$2,053 -88%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,978 +$415 +21%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $33 +$18 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,292 +$541 +13%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,840 −$151 -5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,548 +$5,522 +65%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $14,686 −$1,112 -8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,143 +$1,434 +35%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $670 +$330 +49%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,541 +$2,459 +70%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,032 −$309 -15%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,214 −$72 -1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,837 +$1,249 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,367 +$1,091 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $854 +$145 +17%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $561 −$528 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$29,873
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 19¢ $11 1m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $9 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $14 2m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $13 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 23¢ $5 3m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 50¢ $634 8m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $515 14m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $4 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 19¢ $2 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 80¢ $430 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 87¢ $870 22m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 12¢ $3 24m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 12¢ $6 24m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 12¢ $27 25m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $16 25m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 20¢ $283 25m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 51¢ $21 26m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 51¢ $29 26m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 74¢ $510 28m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 70¢ $19 30m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 70¢ $203 30m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 70¢ $67 30m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 41¢ $269 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $901 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $216 31m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $106 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $53 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $112 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $5 32m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $215 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+79.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 +98.9% +79.9% 47% 44% -12.4%
≤30d 169 +98.9% +79.9% 47% 44% -12.4%
≤90d 169 +98.9% +79.9% 47% 44% -12.4%
all 169 +98.9% +79.9% 47% 44% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover462.5 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +79.9% 44% -12.4%
10% +62.7% 36% -20.8%
15% ← realistic here +47.0% 30% -28.4%
20% +32.6% 21% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28,828.01 · official $28,828.01 (match) · 3500 history records