trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $31 | −$13 | -41% |
| Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$9 | -86% |
| Germany to score first vs. Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$9 | -88% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $11 | +$13 | +123% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $17 | −$10 | -57% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 33% | 11% | -31.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 33% | 11% | -31.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 33% | 11% | -31.2% |
| all | 9 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 33% | 11% | -31.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -30.4% | 11% | -31.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -37.1% | 11% | -37.8% |
| 15% | -43.1% | 11% | -43.8% |
| 20% | -48.7% | 11% | -49.3% |