Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:59:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3457…9a57
other · 10 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$17 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$10
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)8 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 1 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$17
7 days+$17
14 days+$17
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 62¢ 62¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Morocco leading at halftime? Yes 16¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 +$15 +145%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $20 +$10 +50%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$9 -91%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 +$5 +54%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% +$11
sports 50% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +13.4% +2.6% 62% 62% +17.8%
≤30d 8 +13.4% +2.6% 62% 62% +17.8%
≤90d 8 +13.4% +2.6% 62% 62% +17.8%
all 8 +13.4% +2.6% 62% 62% +17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.6% 62% +17.8%
10% -7.2% 62% +6.5%
15% -16.2% 62% -3.8%
20% -24.4% 50% -13.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 17 history records