trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 25% | 25% | +14.4% |
| ≤30d | 31 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 35% | 35% | +1.3% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 35% | 35% | +1.3% |
| all | 38 | -26.9% | -33.8% | 34% | 34% | -2.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.8% | 34% | -2.5% |
| 10% | -40.2% | 34% | -11.9% |
| 15% | -46.0% | 26% | -20.4% |
| 20% | -51.3% | 16% | -28.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | Over | 55¢ | 55¢ | $49 | $49 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 | Over | 42¢ | 42¢ | $49 | $48 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Norway | 65¢ | 64¢ | $49 | $48 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5 | Over | 43¢ | 42¢ | $49 | $47 | −$2 (-3%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $39 | $38 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-12%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $46 | −$45 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $51 | −$7 | -13% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 24 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 24 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $102 | +$116 | +114% |
| Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria? | Jun 23 | $8 | +$50 | +611% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $203 | +$261 | +128% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $25 | −$20 | -79% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $9 | −$9 | -99% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +65% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $30 | +$9 | +29% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $14 | +$8 | +60% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $15 | +$7 | +48% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $20 | +$7 | +32% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $15 | +$7 | +44% |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +44% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Spread: South Africa (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Solana reach $120 in March? | Mar 04 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Solana all time high by June 30? | Jan 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Jan 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31? | Jan 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday? | Jan 22 | $24 | +$13 | +52% |
| Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6? | Dec 06 | $20 | +$5 | +24% |
| Ripple above $1.69 on December 6? | Dec 03 | $20 | $0 | -1% |