Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:40:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
34 0x344a…a0ec crypto 497 markets active 3d ago coverage 73d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$56 (-5%) realized −$56 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate54%267W / 230L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day8.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$11
30 days−$87
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$41
world 3% −$35
other 1% −$2
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -8.8% -17.5% 58% 58% -16.5%
≤30d 469 -7.4% -16.2% 54% 50% -16.5%
≤90d 497 -5.0% -14.0% 54% 49% -15.2%
all 497 -5.0% -14.0% 54% 49% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 49% -15.2%
10% -22.3% 42% -23.3%
15% -29.8% 34% -30.7%
20% -36.7% 26% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

73d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses267 / 230
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)497 / 497
History coverage73d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 497 Trades
no open positions (180 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 978 history records