Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:47:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

34
0x3434…9cb4
crypto · 308 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$26 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses234 / 74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)308 / 308
History coverage63d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Apr 23 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Apr 23 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Apr 23 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Apr 23 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Apr 23 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Apr 23 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Apr 23 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Apr 23 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Apr 23 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Apr 23 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Apr 22 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Apr 22 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Apr 22 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Apr 22 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Apr 22 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $3 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 50d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 50d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -1.5% -10.9% 67% 33% -10.8%
≤30d 12 -1.5% -10.9% 67% 33% -10.8%
≤90d 308 -2.8% -12.1% 76% 14% -12.4%
all 308 -2.8% -12.1% 76% 14% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 14% -12.4%
10% -20.5% 2% -20.8%
15% -28.2% 1% -28.4%
20% -35.2% 0% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 705 history records