trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 18 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 6% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $97 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 02 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | May 17 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 11 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 08 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 17 | $197 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 13 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 10 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 07 | $99 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Mar 23 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 19 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Mar 13 | $100 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 11 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | Mar 07 | $101 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Mar 01 | $101 | $0 | -0% |