Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:41:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x33f1…b358 crypto 94 markets active 7d ago coverage 44d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate60%56W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day6.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -11.4% -19.8% 53% 25% -12.3%
≤30d 32 -11.4% -19.8% 53% 25% -12.3%
≤90d 94 -9.8% -18.4% 60% 38% -13.5%
all 94 -9.8% -18.4% 60% 38% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.4% 38% -13.5%
10% -26.2% 18% -21.8%
15% -33.3% 11% -29.4%
20% -39.9% 5% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
34% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -12% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses56 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage44d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day6.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 94 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $18 −$1 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$8 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$3 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$7 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$5 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $13 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $13 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $11 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Apr 29 $8 −$8 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Apr 29 $6 +$3 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 29 $5 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 29 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 29 $7 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Apr 29 $7 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Apr 29 $15 −$1 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 29 $5 −$1 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Apr 29 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 29 $14 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Apr 29 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Apr 29 $4 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Apr 29 $8 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Apr 29 $9 −$3 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Apr 29 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Apr 29 $10 −$5 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Apr 29 $10 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Apr 29 $16 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 330 history records