trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -10.9% | -19.4% | 41% | 18% | -51.9% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -11.0% | -19.4% | 39% | 17% | -51.0% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 40% | 20% | -34.2% |
| all | 20 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 40% | 20% | -34.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 20% | -34.2% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 15% | -40.5% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 10% | -46.2% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 10% | -51.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $9 | $9 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 72¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-21%) |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 41 and 43 million views on day 2? | Yes | 34¢ | 26¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-24%) |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$1 | -45% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$1 | -5% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $12 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +142% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $34 | −$32 | -94% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Curaçao be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -23% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $19 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -10% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$1 | -30% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $359 | −$187 | -52% |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | May 21 | $13 | −$2 | -11% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first roun | May 06 | $60 | +$87 | +145% |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 | Apr 15 | $20 | −$19 | -95% |